{"id":959,"date":"2026-05-29T03:32:23","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T03:32:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/asianewscast.com\/2026\/05\/29\/transporting-oil-to-china-by-rail-will-not-solve-irans-export-headache\/"},"modified":"2026-05-29T03:32:23","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T03:32:23","slug":"transporting-oil-to-china-by-rail-will-not-solve-irans-export-headache","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.asianewscast.com\/?p=959","title":{"rendered":"Transporting Oil to China by Rail Will Not Solve Iran\u2019s Export Headache\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"td-story-image\" class=\"td-media td-media--story\">\n<div class=\"td-img\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Transporting Oil to China by Rail Will Not Solve Iran\u2019s Export Headache\u00a0\" title=\"Transporting Oil to China by Rail Will Not Solve Iran\u2019s Export Headache\u00a0\" src=\"https:\/\/thediplomat.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sizes\/td-story-s-1\/thediplomat_2026-05-28-233818.jpg\"><\/div><figcaption class=\"td-caption\"><span>Credit: <a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/photos\/train-railway-railroad-tracks-iran-5752081\/\" target=\"_blank\">Javad Esmaeili from Pixabay<\/a><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<section id=\"tda-gated-body\" class=\"td-23-story-body td-prose tda-gated tda-gated--locked\" data-pid=\"p309613\">\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">As it struggles to ship oil through the Strait of Hormuz, Iran is looking for alternative land routes to import and export goods. In March, Iran exported <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/economy\/2026\/4\/29\/is-irans-oil-storage-nearly-full-and-will-it-have-to-cut-production\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">1.84 million barrels per day (BPD)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> to Asian customers, mostly China. Although <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2026\/05\/15\/world\/middleeast\/iran-oil-china-us-hormuz.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">some ships managed to evade<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> the blockade, Iran still cannot transport as much oil as it produces each day.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-05-08\/iran-turns-to-china-rail-link-to-try-to-bypass-us-blockade\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Iran is turning to railway routes through Central Asia<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> as a safer passage for trade with China. While Iran can transport some of its oil over land by rail through Central Asia, it does not have the capability to transport the same amount as it can ship by sea. At best, moving oil over land would serve as a limited lifeline for Iran to sustain itself until the war is over.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eurasiareview.com\/27032026-transformation-of-western-kazakhstan-into-the-last-neutral-gateway-of-eurasia-creates-a-high-stakes-pressure-cooker-analysis\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Operating since May 2025<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, a 10,400-kilometer China-Iran railway corridor stretches from the Chinese city of Xi\u2019an to Tehran. The railway passes through Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan before arriving in Iran \u2013 <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cacianalyst.org\/publications\/analytical-articles\/item\/13920-why-the-southern-corridor-through-iran-is-critical-for-central-asia.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">taking approximately 15 days<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> as opposed to a month by sea. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-05-08\/iran-turns-to-china-rail-link-to-try-to-bypass-us-blockade\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bloomberg reports<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> that cargo shipments from Xi\u2019an to Tehran have increased from one per week to \u201cone every three to four days\u201d since the beginning of the U.S. blockade in April.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In recent years, China, Iran, Russia, and other countries built and expanded railway routes across Central Asia. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cacianalyst.org\/publications\/analytical-articles\/item\/13837-the-china-kyrgyzstan-uzbekistan-railway-chinas-strategic-expansion-in-russias-backyard.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Officials from China, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan announced<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> in 2024 the long-awaited implementation of the 523-kilometer China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan (CKU) railway corridor, with China providing a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/caspianpolicy.org\/research\/middle-corridor\/a-new-link-in-global-trade-the-china-kyrgyzstan-uzbekistan-railway-and-its-role-in-the-middle-corridor\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">$2.35 billion loan and a majority stake<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. In November 2025, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/interfax.com\/newsroom\/top-stories\/114735\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Interfax reported<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> that the first freight train from Russia to Iran arrived in Aprin, outside Tehran, after a 12-day journey through Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">According to the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute (CACI), prior to the war, Iran and Turkmenistan agreed to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cacianalyst.org\/publications\/analytical-articles\/item\/13920-why-the-southern-corridor-through-iran-is-critical-for-central-asia.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">lay additional tracks<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> at the Sarakhs station in northeastern Iran, bordering Turkmenistan, to increase the volume and speed of cross-border shipments. China and Iran are also collaborating on the electrification of a 1,000-kilometer railway in Iran from the city of Sarakhs to Razi, bordering Turkiye.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The route across Central Asia could present Iran with a fast-moving economic lifeline if U.S. forces further restrict passage through Hormuz. But this will not be enough to relieve Iran of the pressure of the blockade.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">First, rail shipments <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-05-08\/iran-turns-to-china-rail-link-to-try-to-bypass-us-blockade\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">run mostly from China to Iran<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, transporting industrial and consumer goods, not Iran to China. While this can be switched to allow more rail shipments to China, Iran may need to sacrifice importing goods it needs \u2013 an unlikely scenario amid the blockade.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Second, the locations of Iran\u2019s oil fields and China\u2019s oil refineries are not favorable to the transport and sale of Iranian oil through Central Asia. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/an-overview-irans-energy-industry-infrastructure-2026-02-28\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Most of Iran\u2019s oil fields are in the south<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, and ships move Iran\u2019s exported oil to the eastern coast of China to be refined in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2026\/mar\/30\/china-teapot-refineries-crude-oil-iran-war\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cteapot\u201d refineries<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. While there are <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bakerinstitute.org\/map-chinas-energy-infrastructure\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">oil refineries in western and central China<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, they are currently refining domestic or imported oil from other countries and cannot refine as much oil as the large ones on the coast.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Third, while transporting oil by rail to China is faster and safer, the payoff is not ideal. The average shipment of oil by rail is between <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/en\/whats-behind-chinas-strait-of-hormuz-bypass\/video-77168452\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">60,000 and 70,000 barrels<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. Iran can also transport between <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-05-02\/iran-juggles-oil-cuts-and-storage-strain-to-resist-us-blockade\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">250,000 and 300,000 bpd<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> if it exports oil to additional countries like Turkiye, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Uzbekistan. In comparison, even with the risk of being caught or captured, the average tanker can move more than 600,000 barrels, and a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2026\/04\/27\/asia\/eopl-oil-iran-shadow-fleet-war-intl-hnk\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> can transport more than 2 million barrels.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">If Iran decides to send oil to China by rail (figure 70,000 barrels per shipment) at a discounted rate (between $75 and $100 per barrel), it could generate between $5.25 million and $7 million per shipment. If the number of shipments increases two to three times per week, Iran could see revenue from $10.5 million to $21 million after the two-week journey. However, there is a lack of available data showing that Iran even has the capacity to transport that much oil by rail. After dividing the revenue, it would fall short of the billions of dollars the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/iranopendata.org\/en\/article\/273-irgc-budget-nearly-twice-that-of-army-2025\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">IRGC received in oil revenue in 2025<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">As the war and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz carries on into another month, Iran has the option to transport oil to China by rail routes through Central Asia. If implemented, the plan would give Iran the ability to safely transport oil to its single largest customer in a short period of time. However, Iran will not be able to export enough oil to fully replace what it can deliver more effectively by sea. China and Iran can work together in the future to make this a more attractive option, but neither can do anything about it while the war continues. Such a plan will serve as an emergency lifeline rather than a solution for Iran\u2019s oil headache.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Credit: Javad Esmaeili from Pixabay As it struggles to ship oil through the Strait of Hormuz, Iran is looking for alternative land routes to import and export goods. In March, Iran exported 1.84 million barrels per day (BPD) to Asian customers, mostly China. Although some ships managed to evade the blockade, Iran still cannot transport [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":960,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-959","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Transporting Oil to China by Rail Will Not Solve Iran\u2019s Export Headache\u00a0 - Asia Newscast<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.asianewscast.com\/?p=959\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Transporting Oil to China by Rail Will Not Solve Iran\u2019s Export Headache\u00a0 - Asia Newscast\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Credit: Javad Esmaeili from Pixabay As it struggles to ship oil through the Strait of Hormuz, Iran is looking for alternative land routes to import and export goods. 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In March, Iran exported 1.84 million barrels per day (BPD) to Asian customers, mostly China. 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